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Training the tactical brain : where cognitive science meets military excellence

Emmanuel Phelut_VF
Emmanuel Phelut
Director of Centre de l’Enseignement Militaire Supérieur-Terre (CEMS-T)
Jean LANGLOIS-BERTHELOT
Jean Langlois-Berthelot
Doctor of Applied Mathematics and Head of Division in the French Army
Key takeaways
  • In 1993, Gary Klein’s “naturalistic decision-making” model demonstrated that experienced decision-makers recognise familiar patterns in a situation.
  • Three years later, Kaempf’s work demonstrated that officers trust their intuition, forged by experience, rather than exhaustive analysis.
  • In 2024, the CEMS-T, a benchmark institution for the training of senior army officers, was established in France.
  • Its objective is to provide officers with training focused on decision-making in unstable environments, understanding the interactions between politics, economics and the military, etc.
  • At CEMS-T, cooperation and the exchange of ideas are encouraged between officers from different branches of the armed forces, civilians, reservists and foreigners.

Total uncer­tain­ty, the clock ticking, lives at stake, an ava­lanche of contra­dic­to­ry infor­ma­tion : mili­ta­ry deci­sion-making brings toge­ther eve­ry­thing that makes choices dif­fi­cult. Far from being a mar­gi­nal case, it repre­sents the most extreme sce­na­rio in human deci­sion-making – a real-life labo­ra­to­ry for resear­chers stu­dying how we make deci­sions in urgent situa­tions. Ame­ri­can resear­cher Gary Klein unra­vel­led this mys­te­ry in 1993 with his natu­ra­lis­tic deci­sion-making model1. Contra­ry to conven­tio­nal wis­dom and clas­si­cal ratio­nal theo­ries, expe­rien­ced deci­sion-makers do not meti­cu­lous­ly weigh the pros and cons of each option. They ins­tant­ly reco­gnise a fami­liar pat­tern in the situa­tion, men­tal­ly visua­lise the conse­quences of their first intui­tion, and then adjust it in real time.

On mili­ta­ry fri­gates equip­ped with the AEGIS sys­tem, the facts confirm the theo­ry. Kaempf’s 1996 work2 is une­qui­vo­cal : faced with infor­ma­tio­nal chaos and extreme time pres­sure, offi­cers rely on their expert intui­tion rather than exhaus­tive ana­ly­sis. This is not out of lazi­ness or approxi­ma­tion, but rather cog­ni­tive adap­ta­tion : when events unfold fas­ter than the capa­ci­ty for ana­ly­sis, intui­tion for­ged by expe­rience becomes the most effec­tive tool. Ano­ther cru­cial les­son, too often over­loo­ked, is that phy­si­cal and psy­cho­lo­gi­cal state makes all the dif­fe­rence3. Accu­mu­la­ted fatigue, lack of sleep, pro­lon­ged stress… Recent stu­dies by Sekel4 and Man­tua5 prove this beyond doubt : these fac­tors mas­si­ve­ly impair the qua­li­ty of deci­sions in com­bat. An exhaus­ted com­man­der mis­judges risks, pro­cesses infor­ma­tion less effec­ti­ve­ly and makes more dan­ge­rous decisions.

These fin­dings are of inter­est far beyond the bar­racks. Cyber­se­cu­ri­ty, health cri­sis mana­ge­ment, mar­ket finance, inter­na­tio­nal diplo­ma­cy : all these sec­tors face unpre­dic­ta­bi­li­ty, urgen­cy and com­plexi­ty on a dai­ly basis. Trai­ning deci­sion-makers capable of acting effec­ti­ve­ly in these dyna­mic and moral­ly deman­ding envi­ron­ments has become a major cross-cut­ting issue. Gene­ral Emma­nuel Phe­lut, head of the Centre de l’En­sei­gne­ment Mili­taire Supé­rieur-Terre, (CEMS‑T) explains how the ins­ti­tu­tion trains senior offi­cers to make deci­sions in today’s com­plex world, inte­gra­ting deci­sion-making sciences, tech­no­lo­gy, ope­ra­tio­nal expe­rience and edu­ca­tio­nal transformation.

In an increasingly unstable international environment, what is the role of CEMS‑T today in preparing senior officers ?

Gene­ral Emma­nuel Phe­lut. CEMS‑T is the bench­mark struc­ture for trai­ning senior army offi­cers. It com­mands and over­sees four schools : the Staff Col­lege, the Land War­fare Col­lege, the Higher Mili­ta­ry Scien­ti­fic and Tech­ni­cal Col­lege, and the Higher Col­lege for Reserve Staff Offi­cers. Its mis­sion is to sup­port offi­cers in a pro­cess of pro­found intel­lec­tual trans­for­ma­tion. The aim is to train lea­ders who are capable of acting in vola­tile envi­ron­ments, unders­tan­ding the inter­ac­tions bet­ween poli­tics, eco­no­mics and the mili­ta­ry, and inte­gra­ting tech­no­lo­gy and human fac­tors into a single com­mand logic. Modern com­mand is not sim­ply a mat­ter of exe­cu­ting a manoeuvre ; it involves thin­king about the glo­bal sys­tem, anti­ci­pa­ting dis­rup­tions and main­tai­ning consis­ten­cy while inte­gra­ting the contra­dic­to­ry demands of the cur­rent times.

How have your teaching methods evolved in response to new forms of warfare ?

Recent wars have shown that deci­sion-making is not sim­ply a tech­ni­cal pro­cess. It results from the abi­li­ty to rea­son in com­plex situa­tions. Tea­ching methods have the­re­fore been reo­rien­ted : before lear­ning how to manage a cri­sis, one must learn how to think about it. Trai­nees work on real-life situa­tions : contem­po­ra­ry conflicts, hybrid cam­pai­gns, infor­ma­tion crises, cybe­rat­tacks. The exer­cises com­bine high-inten­si­ty war­fare, influence ope­ra­tions and poli­ti­cal constraints, par­ti­cu­lar­ly in the context of a major coa­li­tion enga­ge­ment sce­na­rio. Coope­ra­tion and the exchange of ideas are encou­ra­ged : offi­cers from dif­ferent branches of the armed forces, civi­lians, reser­vists and some­times forei­gners learn toge­ther. Assess­ment is no lon­ger based on confor­mi­ty to a model, but on the qua­li­ty of rea­so­ning. Com­plexi­ty can­not be eli­mi­na­ted ; it must be navi­ga­ted. Trai­ning a lea­der means trai­ning them to remain clear-hea­ded in the mid­st of uncertainty.

You often mention innovation and decision sciences. How do these aspects fit into CEMS‑T ?

Inno­va­tion is not a buzz­word or a fad ; it is an intel­lec­tual stance. It involves ques­tio­ning our habits, pro­ce­dures and repre­sen­ta­tions. We incor­po­rate the contri­bu­tions of deci­sion sciences and stra­te­gic thin­king without confi­ning them to theo­ry. Theo­ry still exists and is of course taught, but it is not an insur­moun­table dog­ma, rather a guide. These approaches shed light on how a lea­der builds their vision, prio­ri­tises infor­ma­tion and main­tains consis­ten­cy in their actions under pressure.

Our goal is not to pro­duce cookie-cut­ter deci­sion-makers. We want lea­ders who are capable of dis­cern­ment, aware of the limi­ta­tions of models, and able to accept the uncer­tain­ty inherent in any cri­sis situa­tion. A lea­der must be both res­pon­sible and free : res­pon­sible for what they decide, free in how they conceive and defend it. This pers­pec­tive and intel­lec­tual stance are embo­died in com­mand by inten­tion. It is in this spi­rit that we crea­ted the CEMS‑T tea­ching chair in 2024. It pro­vides a space for dia­logue bet­ween mili­ta­ry and civi­lian actors. This chair works on the links bet­ween science, indus­try, tech­no­lo­gy and stra­te­gy, and direct­ly feeds into the deve­lop­ment of our pro­grammes. It illus­trates our desire to place lea­der­ship trai­ning in an open and dyna­mic fra­me­work, where ope­ra­tio­nal expe­rience and scien­ti­fic and indus­trial thin­king rein­force each other.

In terms of tea­ching, we are expe­ri­men­ting with new methods : flip­ped class­rooms, digi­tal simu­la­tions and col­la­bo­ra­tive plat­forms. Each class becomes a real deci­sion-making labo­ra­to­ry, where we ana­lyse both the way of thin­king and the results obtai­ned. The exer­cises also gene­rate data that feeds into know­ledge bases to pre­pare for the arri­val of AI.

CEMS‑T also maintains links with civilian and foreign institutions. What is the purpose of this ?

Mili­ta­ry com­mand can no lon­ger ope­rate in iso­la­tion. A mili­ta­ry com­man­der must unders­tand the socie­ty in which they are ope­ra­ting : its eco­no­my, its tech­no­lo­gies, its poli­ti­cal constraints. Part­ner­ships with uni­ver­si­ties, engi­nee­ring schools, busi­nesses and seve­ral forei­gn ins­ti­tu­tions help to open up this pers­pec­tive. Resear­chers, engi­neers, eco­no­mists, socio­lo­gists and public deci­sion-makers regu­lar­ly inter­act with trai­nees. This diver­si­ty of pers­pec­tives is inva­luable : it teaches them to lis­ten, to com­pare and contrast, and to think in terms of networks.

On an inter­na­tio­nal level, these exchanges also streng­then inter­ope­ra­bi­li­ty. They allow for the com­pa­ri­son of doc­trines, pro­fes­sio­nal cultures and com­mand prac­tices. Unders­tan­ding others means unders­tan­ding one­self bet­ter and making coope­ra­tion more effective.

If you had to define leadership training today, what would its principles be ?

Trai­ning a lea­der means deve­lo­ping a way of thin­king that is both open-min­ded and res­pon­sible. Open-min­ded, because lea­der­ship is not sim­ply a mat­ter of fol­lo­wing pro­to­col ; it requires the abi­li­ty to be resour­ce­ful, take risks and make deci­sions without cer­tain­ty. Res­pon­sible, because no deci­sion is neu­tral : it involves lives, resources, and often the repu­ta­tion of the nation.

This trai­ning is struc­tu­red around three areas : intel­lec­tual mas­te­ry, moral luci­di­ty, and the capa­ci­ty for action. Intel­lec­tual mas­te­ry is the abi­li­ty to rea­son, to connect facts, to unders­tand before acting. Moral cla­ri­ty is accep­ting dif­fi­cult choices and main­tai­ning inte­gri­ty des­pite the constraints. Final­ly, the capa­ci­ty for action is trans­for­ming reflec­tion into clear deci­sions and staying the course in the face of adver­si­ty. The CEMS‑T main­tains this stan­dard in all its courses. We want eve­ry offi­cer in trai­ning to leave with a method of thin­king, rigo­rous jud­ge­ment and a solid ethi­cal foundation.

In a rapidly changing geopolitical landscape what role does the intellectual training of leaders play in the overall preparation of forces ?

It is essen­tial. Tech­no­lo­gies evolve, orga­ni­sa­tions change, but deci­sion-making remains human. An army is defi­ned first and fore­most by the qua­li­ty of its offi­cers. Trai­ning lea­ders who are capable of ana­ly­sing, arbi­tra­ting and com­man­ding in com­plex situa­tions streng­thens the coun­try’s sove­rei­gn­ty. The CEMS‑T does not teach recipes ; it forges a way of thin­king and an inner dis­ci­pline. The goal is not to pro­duce iso­la­ted experts but minds capable of making connec­tions : connec­ting manoeuvres to stra­te­gy, tech­no­lo­gy to pur­pose, action to responsibility.

Intel­lec­tual trai­ning is a stra­te­gic invest­ment. It pre­pares France to have clear-hea­ded, rigo­rous lea­ders who are capable of exer­ci­sing their free­dom of jud­ge­ment. Ulti­ma­te­ly, this is the best gua­ran­tee of resi­lience and consis­ten­cy in an uncer­tain world.

1Klein, G. A. (1993). A Recog­ni­tion-Pri­med Deci­sion (RPD) Model of Rapid Deci­sion Making. In Deci­sion Making in Action : Models and Methods.
2Kaempf, G. L., Klein, G. A., Thord­sen, M., & Wolf, S. (1996). Deci­sion making in com­plex naval com­mand-and-control envi­ron­ments. Human Fac­tors.
3Har­ri­son, Y., & Horne, J. (2000). The impact of sleep depri­va­tion on deci­sion-making. Fatigue Mana­gers Net­work.
4Sekel, A., et al. (2023). Mili­ta­ry tac­ti­cal deci­sion-making under simu­la­tion stress condi­tions. Fron­tiers in Psy­cho­lo­gy.
5Man­tua, J. (2021). Sleep and risk beha­viour in mili­ta­ry popu­la­tions. Sleep, Oxford Uni­ver­si­ty Press.

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