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Climate change: the losers, the winners and how to adapt

3 episodes
  • 1
    Global warming: is adaptation possible?
  • 2
    Agriculture, health, transport: the few ‘winners’ of climate change 
  • 3
    The biggest losers of climate change
Épisode 1/3
On May 16th, 2023
4 min reading time
Jean-Paul Vanderlinden
Jean-Paul Vanderlinden
Professor of Ecological Economics and Environmental Studies at Université Paris-Saclay
Vincent Viguié
Vincent Viguié
Researcher in Climate Economics at CIRED

Key takeaways

  • Adaptation is the process of adjusting to the current or expected climate and its effects, in order to mitigate damage or exploit beneficial opportunities.
  • Coupled with mitigation, adaptation is useful in many areas, such as territorial risks or food security.
  • The role of the state is key in coordinating actors and disseminating the right information.
  • Transformational adaptation is about changing the fundamental characteristics of a system, as opposed to incremental adaptation.
  • The Global Commission on Adaptation estimates that investing $1.8 billion between 2020 and 2030 can generate $7.1 billion in benefits.
Épisode 2/3
On May 16th, 2023
5 min reading time
GERARDEAUX_Edward
Edward Gérardeaux
HDR from INP Toulouse and Deputy Director of the Aïda research unit at CIRAD
QUILLEROU_Emmanuelle
Emmanuelle Quillérou
environmental and natural resources economist at the University of Western Brittany

Key takeaways

  • Since the 1960s, global warming has reduced overall yields of maize, wheat and rice, and slowed agricultural productivity growth by 21%.
  • But global warming may also benefit some crops, as the global rise in atmospheric CO2 concentration stimulates photosynthesis.
  • Food insecurity will increase, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, South Asia, and Central America, with +8 to +80 million people affected.
  • The Arctic Ocean will become ice-free in summer by 2050, which means that new shipping routes and natural resources will become available.
  • While some communities will benefit from global warming, the rest of the world will be negatively impacted.
Épisode 3/3
On May 16th, 2023
4 min reading time
MAGNAN_Alexandre
Alexandre Magnan
Senior Researcher in "adaptation to climate change" at the Institute for Sustainable Development and International Relations (IDDRI-Sciences Po)

Key takeaways

  • The population groups most vulnerable to climate change are those in precarious situations and/or in isolation.
  • But the more affluent parts of societies will also suffer, less quickly and less directly, because their wealth is based on all the other strata of society.
  • The risk level for some areas is increasing due to the intensification of natural hazards, such as the intertropical and polar areas.
  • Drought could accelerate social and political destabilisation in areas where conflicts already exist, such as the semi-arid areas of Africa.
  • Adaptation is the solution to reduce vulnerabilities, but it requires, among other things, institutional changes and relevant public policies.