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Intensive care : an app that saved lives

Julie Josse
Julie Josse
Researcher in statistics at Inria and lecturer at the Institut Polytechnique de Paris

A major issue during the pan­de­mic has been avai­la­bi­li­ty of cri­ti­cal care beds in inten­sive care units. At vital points during the peak in num­bers of Covid-19 patients, many hos­pi­tals were under pres­sure. The ser­vices nee­ded to know where to send patients in order to prevent over-loa­ding ICUs. 

Ini­tial­ly, heal­th­care staff were noting the num­ber of beds avai­lable in dif­ferent hos­pi­tals on Excel sheets, which they were sen­ding to one ano­ther via What­sApp chats. Even though the cri­sis condi­tions requi­red fast action, it was nei­ther the most effi­cient nor the most secure way to share data. Espe­cial­ly since we are tal­king about infor­ma­tion that could have cau­sed panic had it been intercepted. 

I work with doc­tors and nurses in those ser­vices on a dai­ly basis and, once we had dis­cus­sed the pro­blem, I knew we could auto­mate it. As a res­ponse, our team desi­gned an easy-to-use digi­tal tool to keep track of beds. At the begin­ning of the lock­down, we wor­ked around the clock to turn out the tool in 3–4 days. The ICU Bed Avai­la­bi­li­ty Moni­tor (ICUBAM) was imme­dia­te­ly picked up by the local health autho­ri­ties of the Grand Est – a region of France with a popu­la­tion of over 5.5 mil­lion people. 

The ICUBAM sends a text mes­sage to the mobile phones of ICU wor­kers twice a day, with a link to a simple online form. In a mat­ter of seconds, the user can input the neces­sa­ry infor­ma­tion inclu­ding the num­ber of avai­lable beds, whe­ther they were equip­ped for COVID+ patients or not, and the num­ber of people discharged. 

Data was then col­lec­ted and cen­tra­li­sed, which we used to gene­rate models and real-time ana­lyses of evo­lu­tions in the pan­de­mic. Throu­ghout the cri­sis, we conti­nued to inter­act with doc­tors, pre­sen­ting them with the dash­boards of our models and figures. The data was there to help them make deci­sions but of course jud­ge­ments calls remai­ned their own responsibility. 

ICUBAM was rela­ti­ve­ly easy to put in place. All we real­ly nee­ded was a place to store the data – and some fun­ding to cover the cost of the text mes­sages. As the num­bers came in over time, we trans­for­med the data into a visual map of the pan­de­mic across the coun­try. From that, we were able to go fur­ther by com­bi­ning the data from dif­ferent hos­pi­tals with epi­de­mio­lo­gi­cal models of the pan­de­mic to pre­dict avai­la­bi­li­ty of beds in the coming days. Our goal was to pro­vide vital infor­ma­tion to doc­tors who were making dif­fi­cult deci­sions about where to send high-risk patients. 

ICUBAM pro­vides real-time data about avai­la­bi­li­ty of beds in inten­sive care units across the country. 

After the lock­down per­iod at the begin­ning of sum­mer 2020 we stop­ped run­ning the ICUBAM. Howe­ver, we were later contac­ted by many inten­sive care health wor­kers with requests for us to put it back into action in pre­pa­ra­tion for the second wave. On our side, we would like the autho­ri­ties on a natio­nal level to take up the sys­tem ; health wor­kers in ICUs need it. To face the second wave, the ICUBAM has been put back into action by INRIA and four French regions. For me, this shows our capa­ci­ty to rede­ploy the tool when needed.

Digi­tal tools like ICUBAM can pro­vide real insights into public health issues by kee­ping track of impor­tant data for doc­tors, but also so that we may ana­lyse it to bet­ter unders­tand a situa­tion for other sta­ke­hol­ders. We crea­ted it in a mat­ter of days, and the for­mat could easi­ly be adap­ted to other cri­sis sce­na­rios. Depen­ding on the context, it could be used to track avai­la­bi­li­ty of medi­cal mate­rials, their sto­rage loca­tions and so on. In deve­lo­ping coun­tries, simi­lar data col­lec­ting sys­tems could help sup­port and track public health crises. 

On a posi­tive note, post-lock­down I have also noti­ced more PhD appli­ca­tions in my field. It would seem that the pan­de­mic offers an example of how sta­tis­tics can be applied to real-life situa­tions. Young scien­tists want to apply their know­ledge and there are many other exci­ting chal­lenges to tackle in the domain of arti­fi­cial intel­li­gence for health.

Contributors

Julie Josse

Julie Josse

Researcher in statistics at Inria and lecturer at the Institut Polytechnique de Paris

Julie Josse was a visiting researcher at Google Brain. She is an expert in handling missing values and her current research focuses on causal inference techniques for personalised medicine. She is leading a project with the Traumabase group dedicated to the management of polytraumatised patients to help emergency doctors improve patient care. Julie Josse is dedicated to reproducible research using R statistical software, is a member of the R foundation and of Rforwards to increase the participation of minorities in the community.

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