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European rearmament: capabilities, budgets, and dependencies

3 episodes
  • 1
    Defence industry: how Europe is boosting production
  • 2
    Trump 2: European military dependencies in question
  • 3
    EU arms race: rising budgets, disparate capabilities
Épisode 1/3
On April 29th, 2025
5 min reading time
Hélène Masson
Hélène Masson
Senior Research Fellow at Fondation pour la Recherche Stratégique

Key takeaways

  • France, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Spain and Sweden are the main European countries that design, produce and export arms.
  • According to SIPRI, France ranks second in the world among arms exporting countries for the period from 2020 to 2024, with €18bn worth of orders in 2024.
  • The emergence of new production hubs in eastern and south-eastern Europe illustrates the desire of states to maintain industrial and technological capabilities in strategic segments within their own territories.
  • French defence companies are picking up pace, particularly manufacturers of artillery systems, medium and large-calibre ammunition, powders and explosives, etc.
  • In March 2025, the European Commission presented a package of measures as part of the ReArm Europe plan, aimed at stimulating defence investment.
 
Épisode 2/3
On April 16th, 2025
6 min reading time
Samuel Faure
Samuel Faure
Lecturer in Political Science at Sciences Po Saint-Germain-en-Laye

Key takeaways

  • The defence policy of EU Member States is a matter of national sovereignty; institutions such as the European Commission are primarily political regulators and coordinators.
  • A minority of EU Member States have a significant DITB (Defence industrial and technological base), while the vast majority do not and depend on non-European partners (the United States).
  • Since Brexit, France is the only EU Member State to possess a nuclear arsenal and a permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council.
  • The major European states are arms exporters, and in 2024 France alone accounted for 9.6% of global arms exports.
  • In the face of the US disengagement from the defence of Europe, the ReArm Europe action plan seeks, for example, to strengthen the military capabilities of EU members.
Épisode 3/3
On May 21st, 2025
3 min reading time
PERIA_Léo
Léo Péria-Peigné
Researcher at the Ifri Centre for Security Studies

Key takeaways

  • In recent years, there has been a gradual rearmament of EU member states and defence budgets are generally on the rise.
  • Although France has the second largest army in the EU, it would currently struggle to deploy more than one brigade and replace it with an equivalent unit.
  • Today, 4% of Poland’s budget is devoted to defence, and its goal is to build the EU’s leading army in response to Russian aggression.
  • Following Poland’s example, Estonia is spending 3.4% of its budget on defence, compared with 3.2% for Latvia and 2.9% for Lithuania.
  • Although the UK has a substantial defence budget, both its army and navy have weaknesses in terms of infrastructure, equipment and manpower.