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HIV : 40 years of pandemic

Tania Louis
Tania Louis
PhD in biology and Columnist at Polytechnique Insights
Key takeaways
  • After infection with HIV, AIDS develops in three stages: the primary infection; the asymptomatic phase; and the lethal weakening of the immune system.
  • Since the beginning of the pandemic in the 1980s, 40 million people have died, about as many as are currently living with the virus.
  • HIV is a deadly retrovirus, but antiretroviral treatments exist to keep it under control, including tri-therapy.
  • Pre-exposure prophylaxis consists of taking a combination of antiretroviral drugs prior to risky situations and can drastically reduce the risk of infection.
  • Approximately 1.5 million people worldwide were infected with HIV in 2021 and 650,000 died from AIDS.

The thir­tieth edi­tion of the CROI (Confe­rence on Retro­vi­ruses and Oppor­tu­nis­tic Infec­tions)1, which brings toge­ther spe­cia­lists in Human Immu­no­de­fi­cien­cy Virus (HIV), was held last Februa­ry. Let’s take it as an oppor­tu­ni­ty to take stock of the cur­rent situa­tion of HIV in the world !

This virus was iden­ti­fied and iso­la­ted in 1983 by a team from the Pas­teur Ins­ti­tute2. Like other scien­tists at the time, they were loo­king for the ori­gin of a wea­ke­ning of the immune sys­tem, obser­ved in a gro­wing num­ber of patients in the Uni­ted States since 1981 – the infa­mous acqui­red immu­no­de­fi­cien­cy syn­drome (or AIDS). HIV has the par­ti­cu­la­ri­ty of infec­ting cells of the immune sys­tem, in par­ti­cu­lar T lym­pho­cytes car­rying the CD4 mar­ker, often cal­led T4 lym­pho­cytes. These cells are pro­gres­si­ve­ly killed by the virus and their disap­pea­rance even­tual­ly pre­vents the body from defen­ding itself against other infec­tions. There are dif­ferent types of HIV, deri­ved from seve­ral adap­ta­tions of mon­key viruses to humans. The one at the ori­gin of the cur­rent pan­de­mic, HIV‑1 type M, is thought to have emer­ged in the 1920s in Kin­sha­sa3.

From HIV to AIDS

HIV can be trans­mit­ted through three bodi­ly fluids : blood, sexual secre­tions, and breast milk. The deve­lop­ment of AIDS fol­lo­wing infec­tion takes place in three stages. During the pri­ma­ry infec­tion, i.e. the encoun­ter with the virus, it mul­ti­plies in the body and the CD4 cell count drops. Anti-HIV anti­bo­dies begin to be pro­du­ced and will remain detec­table in the blood of patients, who thus become HIV-posi­tive. As such, the term “HIV-posi­tive” means “having anti­bo­dies” and is some­times used without spe­ci­fying the infec­tious agent invol­ved when refer­ring to HIV.

Evo­lu­tion of the num­ber of T4 lym­pho­cytes and the amount of virus during the dif­ferent phases of HIV infec­tion (cc).

The immune sys­tem takes over after a few weeks, kee­ping the virus under control during an asymp­to­ma­tic phase that can last up to ten years. This repre­sents a first dif­fi­cul­ty in the fight against HIV. Indeed, these patients who have no symp­toms and often do not know that they are infec­ted can still be conta­gious. It is both to enable treat­ment to be put in place and to avoid invo­lun­ta­ry conta­mi­na­tion during this asymp­to­ma­tic phase that scree­ning is essential.

After a while, HIV wea­kens the immune sys­tem enough to mul­ti­ply again in the body. This is when AIDS begins : the body can no lon­ger effec­ti­ve­ly defend itself against oppor­tu­nis­tic infec­tions which, if left untrea­ted, will even­tual­ly lead to death.

Fighting HIV

HIV is a dead­ly retro­vi­rus, but for­tu­na­te­ly there are treat­ments that can keep it under control. Anti­re­tro­vi­ral medi­ca­tions gene­ral­ly com­bine mole­cules tar­ge­ting three dif­ferent stages of the virus’ mul­ti­pli­ca­tion cycle, hence the term “tri-the­ra­py”. This com­bi­na­tion of seve­ral active ingre­dients is essen­tial to control HIV because the virus mutates a lot, allo­wing it to deve­lop resis­tance. The more we restrain it, the lower the pro­ba­bi­li­ty that it will suc­ceed in adapting.

The dif­ferent com­po­nents of tri-the­ra­py can now be com­bi­ned in a single tablet to be taken dai­ly. They block the growth of the virus to the point where it is unde­tec­table in the body, which has two enor­mous advan­tages. On the one hand, as the immune sys­tem is no lon­ger under attack, it can once again play its pro­tec­tive role and prevent the deve­lop­ment of AIDS. Moreo­ver, the ear­lier the treat­ment is taken, the less the immune sys­tem has suf­fe­red befo­re­hand and the more effec­tive it is. If a risk is iden­ti­fied, it is pos­sible to take emer­gen­cy post-expo­sure treat­ment within 48 hours to try to prevent the virus from taking hold. In addi­tion, many stu­dies have shown that when HIV is unde­tec­table, it is not trans­mis­sible4. Treat­ment is the­re­fore also a pre­ven­tion tool.

The best way to fight an infec­tious agent is to avoid cat­ching it. This means iden­ti­fying situa­tions where there is a risk of trans­mis­sion and taking pre­cau­tions to avoid them (such as using condoms during sex). Howe­ver, zero risk rare­ly exists and, for the past ten years, a new pre­ven­tive tool has been avai­lable for people who do not feel suf­fi­cient­ly pro­tec­ted against HIV, wha­te­ver the rea­son : pre-expo­sure pro­phy­laxis, or PreP. This approach consists of taking a com­bi­na­tion of anti­re­tro­vi­rals before ris­ky situa­tions for unin­fec­ted people. Nume­rous trials have shown that this dras­ti­cal­ly reduces the risk of conta­mi­na­tion, and stu­dies are under­way to eva­luate dif­ferent methods of admi­nis­tra­tion (conti­nuous or on-demand, oral or injec­table, etc.), inclu­ding one in the Paris region5. Des­pite its effec­ti­ve­ness, PreP is still not well known to the gene­ral public, but it is avai­lable in France from the age of 15 and is reim­bur­sed by the French social secu­ri­ty system. 

HIV today

An esti­ma­ted 190,000 people are living with HIV in France. This num­ber is constant­ly increa­sing, as there are more new diag­noses than deaths of people with the virus eve­ry year. While the effec­ti­ve­ness of treat­ments is excellent news, the num­ber of new infec­tions has been rela­ti­ve­ly stable for the past ten years. It has decrea­sed in 2020 and 2021, although it is not real­ly pos­sible to draw any conclu­sions, as the SARS-CoV‑2 health cri­sis has had com­plex reper­cus­sions on beha­viour and the health sys­tem. In any case, it is esti­ma­ted that around 5,000 people dis­co­ve­red their HIV sta­tus in France in 2021, 51% of whom lin­ked their infec­tion to hete­ro­sexual inter­course. Unfor­tu­na­te­ly, about 30% of patients were alrea­dy at an advan­ced stage of the disease at the time of their diag­no­sis, a figure that has also been stable for the last ten years6.

Accor­ding to UNAIDS figures7, glo­bal­ly, about 1.5 mil­lion people were infec­ted with HIV in 2021 and 650,000 died of AIDS. An esti­ma­ted 40 mil­lion people have died since the pan­de­mic began in the 1980s, rough­ly the same num­ber as are cur­rent­ly living with the virus. 15% of these people, or about 6 mil­lion, do not know they are infec­ted, and a quar­ter do not have access to anti­re­tro­vi­ral the­ra­py. But these figures hide wide varia­tions across the world.

Out­side sub-Saha­ran Afri­ca, 94% of new HIV infec­tions are among sex wor­kers, men who have sex with men, injec­ting drug users, trans­gen­der women, or the sexual part­ners of all of these. In sub-Saha­ran Afri­ca, where the majo­ri­ty of HIV car­riers live, only half of all new infec­tions are among these groups. And 63% of those infec­ted in 2021 were women or girls.

Inter­na­tio­nal tar­gets are regu­lar­ly set to try to end the HIV pan­de­mic. The 2020 tar­get has unfor­tu­na­te­ly not been met8 and the 2030 tar­get can be sum­ma­ri­sed in three num­bers : 95–95-95. That 95% of people living with HIV know their sta­tus, that 95% of those who know their sta­tus are on treat­ment and that 95% of those on treat­ment have an unde­tec­table viral load9. In 2021, these figures were 85%, 88% and 92% respectively.

The fight against dis­cri­mi­na­tion is also essen­tial, as people with HIV suf­fer from strong sero­pho­bia, both in the medi­cal envi­ron­ment, at work and in their pri­vate lives10. In a sur­vey car­ried out in France in 2021, 36% of parents expres­sed dis­com­fort at the idea of an HIV-posi­tive per­son loo­king after their child11, even though this situa­tion does not present any risk of conta­mi­na­tion (which is non-existent in any case when treat­ment makes the virus unde­tec­table). Edu­ca­tion is the­re­fore essen­tial on these subjects.

Pro­gress in HIV treat­ment and pre­ven­tion approaches is to be cele­bra­ted, but the road to era­di­ca­tion is still long. Espe­cial­ly as we still have nei­ther an effec­tive vac­cine nor a treat­ment that can cure the virus once and for all (although a few excep­tio­nal cases are known, to which we will devote a future article). Final­ly, let us salute the indis­pen­sable work of the asso­cia­tions which, since the begin­ning of this pan­de­mic for­ty years ago, have played a fun­da­men­tal role in pre­ven­tion, sup­port for patients and the fight against their stigmatisation.

1https://​www​.croi​con​fe​rence​.org/
2https://​www​.pas​teur​.fr/​f​r​/​j​o​u​r​n​a​l​-​r​e​c​h​e​r​c​h​e​/​a​c​t​u​a​l​i​t​e​s​/​f​r​a​n​c​o​i​s​e​-​b​a​r​r​e​-​s​i​n​o​u​s​s​i​-​s​e​s​-​t​r​a​v​a​u​x​-​v​i​r​u​s​-vih1 and https://​www​.scien​ce​di​rect​.com/​s​c​i​e​n​c​e​/​a​r​t​i​c​l​e​/​p​i​i​/​S​0​0​4​2​6​8​2​2​0​9​0​05315
3https://​www​.science​.org/​d​o​i​/​1​0​.​1​1​2​6​/​s​c​i​e​n​c​e​.​1​2​56739
4https://​www​.cdc​.gov/​h​i​v​/​r​i​s​k​/​a​r​t​/​e​v​i​d​e​n​c​e​-​o​f​-​h​i​v​-​t​r​e​a​t​m​e​n​t​.html
5http://​pre​ve​nir​.anrs​.fr/
6https://​www​.san​te​pu​bli​que​france​.fr/​m​a​l​a​d​i​e​s​-​e​t​-​t​r​a​u​m​a​t​i​s​m​e​s​/​i​n​f​e​c​t​i​o​n​s​-​s​e​x​u​e​l​l​e​m​e​n​t​-​t​r​a​n​s​m​i​s​s​i​b​l​e​s​/​v​i​h​-​s​i​d​a​/​d​o​n​nees/
7https://​www​.unaids​.org/​f​r​/​r​e​s​o​u​r​c​e​s​/​f​a​c​t​-​sheet
8https://www.unaids.org/fr/resources/presscentre/featurestories/2020/september/20200921_90-90–90
9https://​www​.unaids​.org/​s​i​t​e​s​/​d​e​f​a​u​l​t​/​f​i​l​e​s​/​m​e​d​i​a​_​a​s​s​e​t​/​2​0​1​5​0​6​_​J​C​2​7​4​3​_​U​n​d​e​r​s​t​a​n​d​i​n​g​_​F​a​s​t​T​r​a​c​k​_​f​r.pdf
10https://www.sida-info-service.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Enqu%C3%AAte-Discri-2019_SIS‑1.pdf
11https://www.lecrips-idf.net/sites/default/files/2021–11/CRIPS_JMS_DP_2021_VF.pdf

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