Lecturer at Mines Paris - PSL & at the MIE department of École Polytechnique (IP Paris)
Research Engineer at Institut des Hautes Etudes pour l'Innovation et l'Entrepreneuriat (IHEIE/PSL)
Researcher at Centre de Sociologie de l'Innovation at Ecole des Mines de Paris
The scenario method is a planning tool that can be used to design long-term objectives while the future remains undecided and uncertain.
There are three main categories of scenario: predictive scenarios, exploratory scenarios, and normative scenarios.
Scenario design is based on four distinct stages: construction of the basis, development of images of future situations, verification of the quality of the scenarios produced, and study of the consequences of these scenarios.
There are three main scenario methods: Intuitive Logics, Probabilistic Modified Trends and Foresight.