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COP29: crucial decisions to protect small island states

Patricia Crifo
Patricia Crifo
Professor of Economics at Ecole Polytechnique (IP Paris)
Shinichi Mizuno
Shinichi Mizuno
Master's Student at Ecole Polytechnique (IP Paris)
Andres Rocha
Andres Rocha
Master's Student at Ecole Polytechnique (IP Paris)
Seiji Leung
Seiji Leung
Master's Student at Ecole Polytechnique (IP Paris)
Key takeaways
  • COP29 is a crucial opportunity to put forward the decisions needed to protect Small Island Developing States (SIDS).
  • These countries and territories face unique development challenges linked to their small geographical size, isolation and limited natural resources.
  • At COP28, the creation of the ‘Loss and Damage’ fund committed nations to investing in the ecological transition of SIDS, and COP29 aims to introduce new innovative solutions.
  • The MAPs encourage multi-sectoral strategies to reduce GHG emissions and strengthen the resilience of SIDS to climate risks.
  • It is up to the international community to prioritise financial resources and simplify access to climate financing for SIDS.

Small Island Devel­op­ing States (SIDS) is a term used to describe a dis­tinct group of devel­op­ing coun­tries that share spe­cif­ic social, eco­nom­ic, and envir­on­ment­al vul­ner­ab­il­it­ies. This group of coun­tries and ter­rit­or­ies1 exhib­it unique devel­op­ment chal­lenges due to their small geo­graph­ic­al size, isol­a­tion, and lim­ited nat­ur­al resources. Their eco­nom­ic vul­ner­ab­il­it­ies stem from reli­ance on a nar­row range of exports and high import depend­ence, exacer­bated by their expos­ure to envir­on­ment­al risks, includ­ing cli­mate change, nat­ur­al dis­asters, and sea-level rise, which threaten both urb­an and rur­al com­munit­ies, mak­ing cli­mate change a daily real­ity for these island nations rather than a the­or­et­ic­al threat.

The United Nations (UN) has recog­nised the unique chal­lenges faced by SIDS and has provided plat­forms such as the Bar­ba­dos Pro­gramme of Action (1994), the Maur­i­ti­us Strategy (2005), and the SAMOA Path­way (2014) to address their spe­cif­ic needs. Inter­na­tion­al cli­mate con­fer­ences, not­ably COP28 and COP29, have increas­ingly spot­lighted SIDS resi­li­ence strategies, fin­an­cing gaps, and the press­ing need for glob­al col­lab­or­a­tion to sup­port these vul­ner­able nations.

Recog­nising these vul­ner­ab­il­it­ies, inter­na­tion­al efforts have focused on address­ing the unique needs of SIDS, par­tic­u­larly through ini­ti­at­ives high­lighted at COP conferences.

From commitments to action: SIDS at COP28 and COP29

At COP28, the his­tor­ic agree­ment to estab­lish the “Loss and Dam­age” fund was a moment­ous step for­ward. Ini­tially pro­posed at COP27, this fund com­mit­ted numer­ous coun­tries to invest in the eco­lo­gic­al trans­ition and cli­mate adapt­a­tion meas­ures of devel­op­ing nations. The total amount pledged dur­ing COP28 reached approx­im­ately $770 mil­lion. How­ever, this fig­ure rep­res­ents only about 0.2% of the estim­ated needs of SIDS, which encom­pass invest­ments in adapt­a­tion tech­no­lo­gies cru­cial to pre­vent their phys­ic­al dis­ap­pear­ance and trans­ition­ing to sus­tain­able energy sources2.

Build­ing on this found­a­tion, COP29 shif­ted the focus from com­mit­ments to oper­a­tion­al­isa­tion. The Loss and Dam­age Fund became ready to dis­trib­ute funds by 2025, with Sweden con­trib­ut­ing an addi­tion­al $19 mil­lion, bring­ing total com­mit­ments to over $720 mil­lion. This mile­stone reflects pro­gress, yet as UN Sec­ret­ary-Gen­er­al António Guterres emphas­ised, much more is required. At COP29, he called for innov­at­ive fund­ing sources such as solid­ar­ity levies on ship­ping, avi­ation, and fossil fuel extrac­tion, and for strength­en­ing mul­ti­lat­er­al lend­ing capa­cit­ies to meet the scale of the crisis:

The cre­ation of the Loss and Dam­age Fund is a vic­tory for devel­op­ing coun­tries, for mul­ti­lat­er­al­ism, and for justice. But its ini­tial cap­it­al­isa­tion of $700 mil­lion doesn’t come close to right­ing the wrong inflic­ted on the vul­ner­able (…). I urge coun­tries to com­mit new fin­ance to the Fund. And to write cheques to match. But bilat­er­al flows alone won’t suf­fice. We need new responses, and new sources, to meet the scale of need. I urge coun­tries to agree a new cli­mate fin­ance goal that taps innov­at­ive sources. We need to imple­ment solid­ar­ity levies on sec­tors such as ship­ping, avi­ation, and fossil fuel extrac­tion – to help fund cli­mate action.  We need a fair price on car­bon. And, more broadly, we also need to sup­port Mul­ti­lat­er­al Devel­op­ment Banks in order to increase the lend­ing capa­city, so they are fit to respond to the cli­mate crisis.

SIDS lead­ers at COP29 echoed these demands. The Chair of the Alli­ance of Small Island States (AOSIS), Hon. Toeoles­u­lu­sulu Cedric Schuster, stressed the urgency of access­ing and oper­a­tion­al­iz­ing the fund, under­scor­ing the need for equit­able and stream­lined path­ways to cli­mate finance:

At COP26, we were prom­ised the doub­ling of adapt­a­tion fin­ance, yet access remains chal­len­ging for coun­tries like ours with the least capa­city and resources. (….) The newly estab­lished fund for respond­ing to loss and dam­age must come into play here. Small island states have advoc­ated for such a fund for many years. It is crit­ic­al that it is fully oper­a­tion­al­ised, cap­it­al­ised, and begins to dis­burse fin­ance as quickly as pos­sible.

The adop­tion of the Baku Declar­a­tion at COP29 fur­ther emphas­ised prac­tic­al actions, elev­at­ing SIDS voices and address­ing health impacts through col­lab­or­a­tions with the World Health Organ­iz­a­tion and oth­er stake­hold­ers. This expan­ded agenda reflects a hol­ist­ic under­stand­ing of resi­li­ence, mov­ing bey­ond fin­ance and infra­struc­ture to include pub­lic health and well-being.

Multisectoral Action Pathways and resilience of vulnerable coastal cities

Due to their remote loc­a­tion, scarcity of resources, and sus­cept­ib­il­ity to severe weath­er, SIDS are par­tic­u­larly vul­ner­able to the effects of cli­mate change. Innov­at­ive, integ­rated solu­tions that tackle both short-term risks and long-term sus­tain­ab­il­ity are required to address these exacer­bated issues. Adopt­ing Multi­sect­or­al Action Path­ways (MAPs), a frame­work cre­ated to address the inter­re­lated issues SIDS face, espe­cially in their most vul­ner­able regions, like coastal cit­ies, is one such solution.

Through coordin­ated efforts across sec­tors such as infra­struc­ture, fin­ance, edu­ca­tion, health, and agri­cul­ture, MAPs provide a cooper­at­ive frame­work to address com­plex soci­et­al chal­lenges. MAPs gen­er­ate syn­er­gies that bol­ster resi­li­ence by coordin­at­ing com­mon object­ives, involving stake­hold­ers, com­bin­ing resources, and guar­an­tee­ing gov­ernance account­ab­il­ity. MAPs pro­mote integ­rated plan­ning in the areas of energy, trans­port­a­tion, and urb­an devel­op­ment for cli­mate adapt­a­tion, which lowers green­house gas emis­sions and increases com­munit­ies’ abil­ity to with­stand cli­mate risks.

Because of their remote loc­a­tion, del­ic­ate eco­sys­tems, and reli­ance on resource-depend­ent eco­nom­ies, SIDS face addi­tion­al dif­fi­culties. These vul­ner­ab­il­it­ies grow severe by a lack of fund­ing, heavy debt loads, and inad­equate tech­no­lo­gic­al and human resources. Extreme weath­er events like hur­ricanes, cyc­lones, and rising sea levels exacer­bate envir­on­ment­al threats like soil erosion, land degrad­a­tion, and water scarcity, put­ting vital infra­struc­ture and live­li­hoods at risk. The urgent need for focused resi­li­ence strategies is high­lighted by the fact that Pacific islands like Vanuatu reg­u­larly face cyc­lones and coastal erosion, while Carib­bean coun­tries like Domin­ica and Jamaica struggle with rap­id urb­an­iz­a­tion and the growth of inform­al set­tle­ments3.

The urgent need for focused resi­li­ence strategies is high­lighted by the fact that Pacific islands like Vanuatu reg­u­larly face cyc­lones and coastal erosion.

Adapt­ing to cli­mate impacts is hindered by siloed urb­an man­age­ment that frag­ments responses across sec­tors like infra­struc­ture, health, and envir­on­ment. Insuf­fi­cient data shar­ing between agen­cies fur­ther reduces effi­ciency and com­plic­ates the imple­ment­a­tion of coordin­ated strategies4.

Fin­an­cing is anoth­er major obstacle, with unevenly dis­trib­uted resources mak­ing it dif­fi­cult for SIDS to secure equit­able and con­sist­ent sup­port for long-term resi­li­ence5. Tar­geted, multi­sect­or­al approaches like MAPs are cru­cial for address­ing these inter­con­nec­ted chal­lenges effi­ciently. The fol­low­ing case stud­ies illus­trate how MAPs are applied to strengthen resi­li­ence in the Pacific and Carib­bean regions.

Regional resilience strategies: Pacific and Caribbean islands

In Vanuatu, MAP ini­ti­at­ives like the Integ­rated Urb­an Resi­li­ence in Small Island Devel­op­ing States (IUR-SIDS) and the Great­er Port Vila Urb­an Resi­li­ence Pro­ject (GPVURP) demon­strate how multi­sect­or­al strategies enhance resi­li­ence. Sup­por­ted by the Asi­an Devel­op­ment Bank and UNDP, resource pool­ing and stake­hold­er engage­ment have been crit­ic­al to these pro­jects, enabling the integ­ra­tion of infra­struc­ture, gov­ernance, and eco­lo­gic­al solu­tions, such as cyc­lone shel­ters, urb­an plan­ning train­ing, and man­grove res­tor­a­tion for coastal defence. Their impact extends bey­ond Port Vila, serving as a resi­li­ence mod­el for oth­er Pacific islands6.

GPVURP focuses on gov­ernance and infra­struc­ture, involving pub­lic par­ti­cip­a­tion and haz­ard map­ping to address dis­aster risks. With $11.77 mil­lion in fund­ing, it emphas­ises loc­al solu­tions to with­stand cyc­lones and reduce urb­an flood­ing7.

MAP pro­grams in the Carib­bean under­line the import­ance of loc­al gov­ern­ment involve­ment in cli­mate adapt­a­tion. In Jamaica, the Loc­al Gov­ernance Act of 2016 man­dates muni­cip­al­it­ies to enforce urb­an plan­ning, pro­mote envir­on­ment­al health, and man­age dis­asters. Des­pite fund­ing and tech­nic­al chal­lenges, ICT tools like social media have improved cit­izen engage­ment, enabling com­munit­ies in King­ston to par­ti­cip­ate in cli­mate adapt­a­tion8.

Sim­il­arly, Trin­id­ad & Tobago’s Muni­cip­al Cor­por­a­tions Act tasks loc­al gov­ern­ments with dis­aster man­age­ment and envir­on­ment­al reg­u­la­tion, but fin­an­cial and tech­nic­al lim­it­a­tions hinder full imple­ment­a­tion. Issues like flood­ing high­light the need for multi­sect­or­al part­ner­ships to address resi­li­ence. MAP approaches in Trin­id­ad and Jamaica could enhance cli­mate adapt­a­tion by fos­ter­ing col­lab­or­a­tion between gov­ern­ments, busi­nesses, and inter­na­tion­al organ­iz­a­tions, pro­mot­ing resource shar­ing, data access, and capa­city building.

Comparative insights: Caribbean and Pacific approaches

Pacific and Carib­bean SIDS are using dif­fer­ent strategies for cli­mate resi­li­ence. The Pacific relies on region­al cooper­a­tion, exem­pli­fied by the Pacific Islands For­um and PACRES, to coordin­ate dis­aster responses, pro­tect mar­ine resources, and build shared capa­cit­ies. In con­trast, the Carib­bean focuses on inter­na­tion­al part­ner­ships like PACC 2030 (U.S.-Caribbean Part­ner­ship to Address the Cli­mate Crisis 2030), which sup­ports clean energy pro­jects and devel­op­ment fin­an­cing to meet Par­is Agree­ment goals. These dif­fer­ences sug­gest that while Carib­bean islands bene­fit from glob­al part­ner­ships and nation­al policy integ­ra­tion, Pacific islands require region­al col­lab­or­a­tion. Flex­ible MAP strategies are essen­tial to address each region’s unique socioeco­nom­ic and geo­graph­ic needs.

Future prospects and a call to action

As COP30 approaches, the momentum gained at COP29 presents a vital oppor­tun­ity to expand MAP pro­grams and secure mean­ing­ful inter­na­tion­al sup­port for SIDS. The shift from pledges to tan­gible action under­scores the need for col­lab­or­a­tion, innov­at­ive solu­tions, and tailored resi­li­ence strategies.

While pro­gress has been made, sig­ni­fic­ant gaps remain. The inter­na­tion­al com­munity must pri­or­it­ise fin­an­cial resources, tech­nic­al assist­ance, and stream­lined access to cli­mate fin­ance. Part­ner­ships that address the unique vul­ner­ab­il­it­ies of SIDS are essen­tial to ensur­ing sus­tain­able and equit­able solutions.

The stakes are exist­en­tial. With decis­ive action, innov­at­ive invest­ments, and glob­al solid­ar­ity, SIDS can trans­form into mod­els of resi­li­ence and sus­tain­ab­il­ity, nav­ig­at­ing the chal­lenges of cli­mate change with strength and adapt­ab­il­ity. MAPs offer a prac­tic­al frame­work to achieve this, fos­ter­ing col­lab­or­a­tion across sec­tors and empower­ing loc­al com­munit­ies to imple­ment tailored, impact­ful solu­tions. The time for prom­ises is over. The future of SIDS depends on imme­di­ate, coordin­ated action from the glob­al community.

1Examples of SIDS: Carib­bean: Anti­gua and Bar­buda, Bahamas, Bar­ba­dos, Domin­ica, Gren­ada, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vin­cent and the Gren­ad­ines, Trin­id­ad and Tobago. Pacific: Fiji, Kiribati, Mar­shall Islands, Microne­sia, Nauru, Palau, Pap­ua New Guinea, Sam­oa, Solomon Islands, Tonga, Tuvalu, Vanuatu. Atlantic, Indi­an Ocean, Medi­ter­ranean, and South China Sea: Cape Verde, Comoros, Guinea-Bis­sau, Mal­dives, Maur­i­ti­us, São Tomé and Prín­cipe, Seychelles, Singa­pore.
2Crifo P. & S. D’Allaglio (2024), Why COP28 was a crit­ic­al con­fer­ence for small island states. Poly­tech­nique insights. https://​www​.poly​tech​nique​-insights​.com/​e​n​/​c​o​l​u​m​n​s​/​e​c​o​n​o​m​y​/​w​h​y​-​c​o​p​2​8​-​w​a​s​-​a​-​c​r​i​t​i​c​a​l​-​c​o​n​f​e​r​e​n​c​e​-​f​o​r​-​s​m​a​l​l​-​i​s​l​a​n​d​-​s​t​ates/
3Mycoo M. 2024. Com­mon­wealth Carib­bean cit­ies, cli­mate change adapt­a­tion, and resi­li­ence: empower­ing loc­al gov­ern­ment. Com­mon­wealth Journ­al of Loc­al Gov­ernance. – 2024. – 29. pp. 1–20. https://​doi​.org/​1​0​.​5​1​3​0​/​c​j​l​g​.​v​i​2​9​.9042.
4Laurent C. & Vir­ginie K. E. Duvat 2024. Address­ing the Cli­mate Adapt­a­tion Track­ing Gap: An Assess­ment Meth­od Using Key Vari­ables. Region­al envir­on­ment­al change. Vol 24 number147
5United Nations. – 2024Accessing Cli­mate Fin­ance: Chal­lenges and Oppor­tun­it­ies for Small Island Devel­op­ing States (SIDS) https://​www​.un​.org/​e​n​/​c​l​i​m​a​t​e​-​f​i​n​a​n​c​e​-​s​i​d​s​-2024.
6UN-HABITAT UNDP Cli­mate – 2023. Integ­rated Urb­an Resi­li­ence In Small Island Devel­op­ing States And Coastal Cit­ies: Nation­al And City ‘State Of Play’ Port Vila, Vanuatu. In Undp | Un-Hab­it­at. https://www.sparkblue.org/sites/default/files/2023–06/State%20.
 
7Asi­an Devel­op­ment Bank. – 2024 Great­er Port Vila Urb­an Resi­li­ence Pro­ject. https://www.adb.org/projects/52031–001/main.
8Mycoo M.. – 2023 Cit­ies, Cli­mate Change Adapt­a­tion and Sus­tain­able Devel­op­ment: The Role of Loc­al Gov­ern­ments in Com­mon­wealth Small Island Devel­op­ing States. https://​www​.researchg​ate​.net/​p​u​b​l​i​c​a​t​i​o​n​/​3​6​9​9​21075.

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