Academic freedom in decline in Europe and around the world
- Between 2015 and 2025, as many as 50 countries recorded a substantial, statistically significant decline in their academic freedom index.
- In the United States, the Florida governor’s signing of the Stop WOKE Act in 2022 contributed to this decline.
- According to the Balme report, a significant portion of the world’s outstanding scientific output originates in environments where academic autonomy is subject to systemic and existential constraints.
- In Europe, the situation is deteriorating, but academic freedom is still better protected there than elsewhere.
- Universities with a high degree of autonomy are better equipped to resist external pressures.
Academic freedom has been steadily declining worldwide for the past 15 years, according to the Academic Freedom Index (AFI). In recent years, many democracies have contributed to this decline, including the United States and the United Kingdom.
The findings of the 2026 AFI report1 are damning: between 2015 and 2025, as many as 50 countries recorded a substantial and statistically significant decline in their academic freedom index, compared with only 9 that saw an increase. The AFI report, produced by researchers at Friedrich-Alexander University and the V‑Dem project, provides an annual assessment of the effective protection of academic freedom in 179 countries. It is based on five indicators: three relating to individual dimensions (freedom of research and teaching, freedom of academic exchange and dissemination, and freedom of academic and cultural expression), and two concerning institutional dimensions (institutional autonomy and campus integrity).
“The AFI relies on expert assessments, which introduces a degree of subjectivity. Yet the V‑Dem methods used to aggregate expert judgments ensure valid and reliable estimates,” notes Angelo Vito Panaro. “However, we always recommend using uncertainty intervals when making comparisons over time and between countries”.
Until now, it was widely believed that academic freedom remained strong in liberal democracies. That is no longer the case, and the United States stands out for both the speed and scale of its decline: still at 0.91 (out of 1) in 2019, the country’s index fell to 0.4 in 2025. This decline is even faster than that observed in some countries undergoing “autocratisation”2, such as Turkey (AFI 0.09, down 0.46 over 15 years) or India (AFI 0.14, down 0.51), where the erosion has kept pace with “political attacks, legal reforms, and administrative interventions.”
US decline with global consequences
In the United States, the decline “began around 2020, largely fueled by state-level actions in several states,” such as the Florida governor’s signing of the Stop WOKE Act in 2022, or the laws passed by the legislatures of Texas, North Dakota, Florida, and Iowa to reduce protections related to incumbent status. “It intensified in 2025 under the second Trump administration, driven by an unprecedented set of coercive federal executive actions that amplified and fueled the pressure exerted by states on autonomous universities,” the AFI report notes.
This collapse is all the more concerning because it is universal in scope. China (AFI of 0.07 in 2025) and the United States alone account for between one-third and one-half of the world’s scientific publications3. “In the US, the initial decline began in 2020, driven largely by state-level actions. It intensified in 2025 under the second Trump administration, driven by an unprecedented array of coercive federal executive measures that amplified and fueled state-level pressures on autonomous universities,” warns the Balme report4 on academic freedom, produced for France Universités and published in October 2025.
Europe is holding steady overall, despite warning signs
In Europe, the situation is deteriorating, but academic freedom is still better protected there than elsewhere. “To date, it remains the only regional area where this founding principle of intellectual life continues to be, overall, institutionally guaranteed,” states the Balme report, despite faint signs “that are already alarming in some cases.” This is the case in the UK (0.67 compared to 0.93 in 2015), where universities have undergone gradual privatization over the past 40 years, while remaining subject to strict state regulation5. Hungary offers an even more dramatic example, following Viktor Orbán’s attacks on the university system: its score fell from 0.95 in 2008 to 0.3 in 2025.
In other EU countries, the indices range from 0.68 (Greece) to 0.98 (Czech Republic). Ten of these countries have experienced a decline deemed significant by researchers over the past decade. In France, the index remained remarkably stable until 2024 (around 0.88). It experienced a slight dip in 2025 (0.8), which will need to be confirmed to be considered significant. On the eastern border of the EU, the decline that began in the 1990s and 2000s in Belarus (0.06 in 2025, compared to a brief high of 0.58 in 1994) and in Russia (0.18 in 2025, 0.82 in 1999) has continued.
Institutional autonomy, a cornerstone of academic freedom
In both the United States and Europe, certain political narratives argue that universities today are dominated by homogeneous ideological currents—generally liberal or left-wing—a situation that marginalises critical or dissenting voices and erodes pluralism. From this perspective, the main threats to academic freedom stem not from direct state intervention but from these informal social pressures.
The AFI study sheds light on this perspective. “Our findings suggest that institutional autonomy plays a key role in protecting the individual dimensions of academic freedom. Weak autonomy makes scholars more vulnerable to external pressures. Conversely, where autonomy is strong, freedoms in research and teaching tend to be stronger as well,” explains Angelo Vito Panaro. Universities with a high degree of autonomy are thus better equipped to resist external pressures, ensure merit-based hiring, and provide a safe environment for researchers whose work challenges dominant political, economic, or ideological interests.

